The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Macarthur FC v Western Sydney Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 08:40 UTC

Final: Macarthur FC 0–0 Western Sydney Wanderers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Macarthur FC (Local)

Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.636%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.54%29.36%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.083.103.3536.36%32.45%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 45.22%2.21fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.426%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%45.09%45.28%46.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.082.102.2054.05%47.99%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.812%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.02%25.36%25.35%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.8529.41%27.45%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macarthur FC (Local): 29.40%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 45.22%; Draw: 25.37%. For Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.511%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.49%E -0.446%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.49%E -0.446%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.03%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 08:35
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -2.96%E -0.898%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.16%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.42%EV -3.07%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 08:35
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.96%E -0.898%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 08:34
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.48%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 08:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 08:25
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 08:35
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -8.65%E -4.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 08:35
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.65%E -4.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 08:35
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.65%E -4.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 08:35
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 08:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 08:35
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 08:35
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 08:34
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 08:25
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 08:25
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.02%EV -5.61%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 08:25
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 08:35
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 08:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.33%EV -0.511%E -0.232%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 08:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.53%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.26%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.26%EV -6.63%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 08:00
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 08:35
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 08:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -5.03%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 08:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.87%EV -3.22%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -3.58%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -15.31%E -5.32%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.93%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 08:25
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -15.31%E -5.32%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.93%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -15.31%E -5.32%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -4.13%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.93%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 08:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -16.20%E -5.68%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -11.82%E -6.06%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-31 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -17.67%E -6.31%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -3.09%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.18%EV -17.67%E -6.31%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.68%EV -16.34%E -8.83%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.14%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-31 08:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.14%E -6.96%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.30%EV -11.36%E -5.80%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-31 08:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.27%0.2%2026-10-31 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.27%0.2%2026-10-31 08:35
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.27%0.2%2026-10-31 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-10-31 08:35
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-31 08:35
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.4%2026-10-31 08:35

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.