Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Macarthur FC v Perth Glory
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Macarthur FC (Local)
Prediction 47.72%2.10fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.65%47.80%47.88%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.922.0556.18%52.11%52.22%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Perth Glory (Visit)
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.43%26.03%25.99%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.593.603.9530.77%27.82%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV +0.843%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.296%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%26.17%26.13%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.553.8529.85%27.98%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macarthur FC (Local): 47.72%; Perth Glory (Visit): 26.08%; Draw: 26.19%. For Perth Glory (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.51%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.43%EV +3.03%E +0.768%K +1.03%G +0.031% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV +0.843%E +0.219%K +0.296%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.07%EV -4.08%E -2.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV +0.425%E +0.110%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.16%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.425%E +0.110%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -0.467%E -0.123%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 05:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.92%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -0.879%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.92%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -0.879%E -0.231%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -6.46%E -3.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -6.46%E -3.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.71%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.18%E -0.582%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -12.67%E -6.92%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -3.49%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -12.67%E -6.92%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 05:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.90%E -4.09%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.00%EV -5.57%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.23%EV -2.30%E -0.617%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.10%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -15.05%E -8.46%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -15.05%E -8.46%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -15.05%E -8.46%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 05:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.44%EV -8.37%E -4.36%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -8.18%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.09%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.55%E -2.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -15.05%E -8.46%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -10.01%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -13.92%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.71%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.37%E -4.36%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.92%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 05:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.83%EV -15.05%E -8.46%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.92%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.17%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -15.23%E -4.68%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.01%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 05:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 05:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 05:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-10-17 05:45 |