The School of Odds
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Central Coast Mariners v Perth Glory

2026-11-21 06:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.14%32.26%32.31%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.772.753.0041.67%36.16%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Perth Glory (Visit)

Prediction 42.92%2.33fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -0.992%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%42.74%42.88%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.172.3050.00%45.96%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.00%24.81%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.603.9529.85%27.52%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Coast Mariners (Local): 32.23%; Perth Glory (Visit): 42.92%; Draw: 24.85%. For Perth Glory (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -1.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.83%EV -3.30%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -6.87%E -3.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -1.85%E -0.468%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 21:15
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.84%EV -8.16%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -4.34%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 16:43
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 11:45
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -4.91%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.83%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.09%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 09:25
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.17%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.88%EV -6.87%E -3.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 20:29
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.36%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 20:45
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -16.19%E -6.23%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -1.29%E -0.561%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-07 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -19.41%E -7.77%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-07 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 33.83%EV -21.03%E -8.58%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.44%EV -14.16%E -7.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.74%EV -16.76%E -5.00%K -7.13%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-07 20:28
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -22.64%E -9.43%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%17.9%2026-11-07 20:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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