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Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Central Coast Mariners (Local)
Prediction 24.48%4.08fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.355%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.62%24.51%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.643.704.1331.75%27.49%27.03%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newcastle Jets FC (Visit)
Prediction 52.55%1.90fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.736%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.04%52.39%52.59%53.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.801.801.9359.88%55.49%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV -0.547%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.98%22.90%24.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.034.004.3327.78%24.81%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Coast Mariners (Local): 24.48%; Newcastle Jets FC (Visit): 52.55%; Draw: 22.97%. For Newcastle Jets FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV +1.42%E +0.736%K +1.53%G +0.022% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -1.24%E -0.287%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -1.73%E -0.926%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.42%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -20.43%E -6.29%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.27%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -11.86%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.46%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.35%EV -0.547%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.46%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.35%EV -0.547%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -15.54%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 08:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.24%EV -4.28%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.65%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.19%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.19%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 08:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.19%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.42%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.42%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.42%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.42%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -19.21%E -5.82%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -16.76%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -22.88%E -7.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -22.88%E -7.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -22.88%E -7.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.33%EV +1.11%E +0.269%K +0.355%G +0.004% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.83%EV -5.94%E -3.32%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.83%EV -3.07%E -0.728%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -5.94%E -3.32%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.53%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.30%E -0.834%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.74%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -8.93%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -4.68%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.19%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 08:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -20.43%E -6.29%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -7.51%E -4.27%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -8.04%E -4.59%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -8.04%E -4.59%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -3.30%E -0.834%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.04%E -4.59%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -3.30%E -0.834%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.04%E -4.59%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.04%E -4.59%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.19%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.09%E -5.25%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -11.72%E -6.97%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -17.31%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-17 08:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -12.24%E -7.33%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-17 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.74% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.73% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 08:35 |