Language:English
Central Coast Mariners v Brisbane Roar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Central Coast Mariners (Local)
Prediction 30.84%3.24fair odd
EV -0.689%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.310%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%30.80%30.83%32.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.2235.71%33.39%33.33%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brisbane Roar (Visit)
Prediction 42.50%2.35fair odd
EV -0.965%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%42.52%42.54%44.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.3350.00%45.28%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.68%26.63%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.453.6533.33%29.17%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Coast Mariners (Local): 30.84%; Brisbane Roar (Visit): 42.50%; Draw: 26.65%. For Central Coast Mariners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.22, with an expected value of -0.689%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -0.689%E -0.214%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -2.98%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.85%E -0.904%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.91%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -2.85%E -0.904%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.91%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.39%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.39%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.39%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.39%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.39%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -5.01%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.34%E -3.37%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.71%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00%EV -0.965%E -0.414%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.05%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.34%E -3.37%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.34%E -3.37%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.24%EV -6.86%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.57%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.19%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 08:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.24%E -0.974%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.24%E -0.974%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -5.22%E -2.34%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.87%E -6.28%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 04:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -3.09%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -10.56%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -14.99%E -7.50%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-10 04:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.99%E -7.50%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.04%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -11.48%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 07:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -12.10%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 08:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.10%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -12.10%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -12.10%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.64%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -13.64%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.10%EV -9.04%E -4.22%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.29% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |