Language:English
Brisbane Roar v Western Sydney Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Prediction 33.30%3.00fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.98%33.35%33.31%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.832.9438.46%35.64%35.40%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%39.48%39.54%40.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4745.45%42.53%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.17%27.14%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Roar (Local): 33.30%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 39.52%; Draw: 27.19%. For Brisbane Roar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.94, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.89%EV -2.11%E -0.718%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.63%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.30%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 05:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -3.44%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 05:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -4.11%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 05:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -4.44%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -6.35%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.44%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.35%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 04:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 03:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 03:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 03:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 05:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -5.77%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -6.74%E -2.86%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -8.11%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.78%EV -5.77%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.17%EV -8.72%E -3.77%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.05%EV -6.75%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -6.11%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -6.11%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.22%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.79%EV -2.40%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -3.48%E -0.981%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 05:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 05:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.43%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 04:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 04:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 03:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 04:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 04:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 05:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 03:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.08%EV -6.35%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 03:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 05:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 03:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 03:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 03:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 03:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -9.90%E -4.34%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -9.90%E -4.34%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-13 04:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -18.44%E -6.15%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-13 05:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -11.77%E -4.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 04:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.76%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-13 05:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.43%E -5.17%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.06%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-13 04:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 05:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 05:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 05:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 05:29 |