The School of Odds
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Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory

2026-10-23 09:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Roar (Local)

Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.40%44.41%44.49%46.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.072.082.1554.05%48.26%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Perth Glory (Visit)

Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%28.52%28.48%29.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.223.253.4533.90%31.01%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -0.001%
Edge -0.000%
Kelly -0.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.07%27.03%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.403.7030.77%29.28%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brisbane Roar (Local): 44.44%; Perth Glory (Visit): 28.53%; Draw: 27.03%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70002. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70000, with an expected value of -0.001%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.17%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 14:34
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 07:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 07:30
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.34%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.93%EV -6.99%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.79%EV -4.87%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 07:35
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 07:30
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 07:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.07%EV -6.23%E -2.95%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.87%EV -6.49%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 09:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.99%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 07:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 09:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 08:25
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-16 09:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:30
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 12:47
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:14
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:19
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.56%E -3.63%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.00%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-16 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 11:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 11:10
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-14 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.41%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 09:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 05:30
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.81%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-16 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-16 14:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-16 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -12.89%E -6.58%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -14.41%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -8.11%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-27 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.96%EV -14.67%E -7.64%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.26%EV -15.83%E -5.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-27 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -17.78%E -9.61%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -9.46%E -2.82%K -4.03%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-17 09:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 42.97%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%14.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 44.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%16.4%2026-10-13 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 31.61%1.12I 89.29%NM 42.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 26.05%110.9%2026-10-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 31.61%1.12I 89.29%NM 42.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 26.05%110.9%2026-10-17 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 31.61%1.12I 89.29%NM 42.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 26.05%110.9%2026-10-17 11:35