The School of Odds
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Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory

2026-10-23 09:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Roar (Local)

Prediction 44.37%2.25fair odd
EV -6.83%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%44.37%44.37%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.042.052.1052.91%49.06%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Perth Glory (Visit)

Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -5.81%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%28.54%28.54%29.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.203.3033.90%31.61%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV +0.238%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.088%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.75%27.09%27.09%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.353.7030.77%29.26%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brisbane Roar (Local): 44.37%; Perth Glory (Visit): 28.54%; Draw: 27.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.70, producing a positive expected value of +0.238%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV +0.238%E +0.064%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 11:09
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.05%E -4.41%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.05%E -4.41%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 11:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.05%E -4.41%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -13.04%E -6.65%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-27 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.96%EV -14.81%E -7.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.26%EV -15.80%E -5.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -9.24%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-27 11:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.83%E -3.25%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.22%EV -16.15%E -8.54%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -14.38%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-27 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.