The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Brisbane Roar v Auckland FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC

Final: Brisbane Roar 1–1 Auckland FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Roar (Local)

Prediction 38.49%2.60fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%38.60%38.64%40.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.442.452.5546.51%40.96%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auckland FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV +2.99%
Edge +0.980%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.54%33.63%33.66%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.703.0540.00%37.00%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.61fair odd
EV -0.421%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.77%27.70%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.353.5931.25%29.78%29.85%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Roar (Local): 38.49%; Auckland FC (Visit): 33.77%; Draw: 27.74%. For Auckland FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.58%EV -8.77%E -3.70%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV +2.99%E +0.980%K +1.46%G +0.044%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.43%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.41%E -0.835%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.02%EV -0.421%E -0.117%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-30 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 08:39
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 08:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -9.54%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 08:30
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 08:50
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 08:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 08:25
Bovada🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.07%EV -7.23%E -3.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 08:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -6.46%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 08:30
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.27%EV -8.00%E -3.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 08:50
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 08:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 08:24
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:49
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -6.84%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:50
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.30%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.46%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -2.09%E -0.591%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 08:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 08:50
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 08:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -8.49%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -1.84%E -0.721%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 08:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.46%E -4.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -17.24%E -8.02%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-30 08:30
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.84%E -0.721%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-30 08:45
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 08:40
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 08:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 08:25
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-30 08:24
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.69%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-30 08:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -15.31%E -6.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -13.89%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-30 08:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 08:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -3.76%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-30 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 08:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.30%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-10-30 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.28%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-10-30 08:50
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-30 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-30 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-10-30 08:50
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-10-30 08:40

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