La scuola delle quote

Auckland FC v Central Coast Mariners

Inizio: 2026-04-19 03:00 UTC

Finale: Auckland FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Auckland FC (Casa)

Previsione 74.29%1.35quota equa
EV -0.448%
Vantaggio -0.334%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.53%74.30%74.42%75.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.271.261.3486.21%78.74%79.37%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Central Coast Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.93%10.07quota equa
EV +14.25%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.193%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.43%9.89%9.79%11.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.219.0011.5012.50%10.86%11.11%8.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.77%6.34quota equa
EV -0.315%
Vantaggio -0.050%
Kelly -0.059%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.11%15.81%15.78%19.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.605.726.3222.22%17.87%17.47%15.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.43%EV +14.25%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.193%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 02:55
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.43%EV +14.25%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.193%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 02:55
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +9.28%E +0.844%K +0.928%G +0.086%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -9.31%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 02:50
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +9.28%E +0.844%K +0.928%G +0.086%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:50
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 75.81%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.58%G +0.000%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.07%EV +4.61%E +0.438%K +0.484%G +0.022%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.11%EV -0.315%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 02:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +4.31%E +0.411%K +0.454%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 02:45
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +4.31%E +0.411%K +0.454%G +0.020%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:50
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +4.31%E +0.411%K +0.454%G +0.020%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:50
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 02:45
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 02:48
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 02:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 02:45
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000%9.88I 10.12%NM 9.59%EV -1.85%E -0.187%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV -8.67%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 02:45
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.09%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.58%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.65%EV -2.64%E -0.269%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.26%EV -2.21%E -0.356%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 02:50
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.62%E -0.592%K -0.661%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 02:45
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.62%E -0.592%K -0.661%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 02:50
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.25%EV -13.82%E -11.91%K -86.38%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.44%EV -8.10%E -0.876%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.31%EV -10.09%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 02:50
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.34%EV -0.448%E -0.334%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.04%EV -16.40%E -3.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 02:35
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 02:55
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 02:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 02:39
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:50
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.31%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 02:50
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 02:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 02:54
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 02:55
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 02:50
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.83%EV -10.11%E -8.35%K -48.12%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 02:54
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -2.68%E -2.04%K -8.64%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -14.56%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.25%EV -7.57%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 02:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.81%EV -1.19%E -0.896%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.98%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 02:35
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 70.81%EV -1.19%E -0.896%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.98%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 02:35
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -17.98%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:35
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.52%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.52%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 02:40
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -8.62%E -7.01%K -37.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -29.02%E -6.45%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -22.71%E -4.64%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 02:35
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -22.71%E -4.64%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 02:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -24.29%E -5.06%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 02:35
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.85%E -9.04%K -54.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 02:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-19 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-19 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-19 02:50
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-04-19 02:49
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.11%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-04-19 02:55
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.83%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%1.9%2026-04-19 02:45