La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Auckland FC v Central Coast Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Auckland FC (Local)
Predicción 74.29%1.35momio equitativo
EV -0.448%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.53%74.30%74.42%75.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.271.261.3486.21%78.74%79.37%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Central Coast Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 9.93%10.07momio equitativo
EV +14.25%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.193%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.43%9.89%9.79%11.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.219.0011.5012.50%10.86%11.11%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.77%6.34momio equitativo
EV -0.315%
Ventaja -0.050%
Kelly -0.059%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.11%15.81%15.78%19.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.605.726.3222.22%17.87%17.47%15.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.43%EV +14.25%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.193% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.43%EV +14.25%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.193% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +9.28%E +0.844%K +0.928%G +0.086% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -9.31%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +9.28%E +0.844%K +0.928%G +0.086% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.81%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.07%EV +4.61%E +0.438%K +0.484%G +0.022% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.11%EV -0.315%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +4.31%E +0.411%K +0.454%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +4.31%E +0.411%K +0.454%G +0.020% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +4.31%E +0.411%K +0.454%G +0.020% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -6.94%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 02:48 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -0.653%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 9.88I 10.12%NM 9.59%EV -1.85%E -0.187%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV -8.67%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.09%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.65%EV -2.64%E -0.269%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.26%EV -2.21%E -0.356%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.62%E -0.592%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.62%E -0.592%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.25%EV -13.82%E -11.91%K -86.38%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.44%EV -8.10%E -0.876%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.31%EV -10.09%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.34%EV -0.448%E -0.334%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.04%EV -16.40%E -3.10%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 02:40 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 02:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.31%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.13%E -5.71%K -28.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.83%EV -10.11%E -8.35%K -48.12%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -10.59%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 02:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.68%EV -2.68%E -2.04%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -14.56%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.25%EV -7.57%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 02:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.81%EV -1.19%E -0.896%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.98%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.81%EV -1.19%E -0.896%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.98%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -17.98%E -3.46%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -19.56%E -3.83%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.52%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -8.52%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -8.62%E -7.01%K -37.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.36%E -0.894%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -15.56%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -29.02%E -6.45%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -22.71%E -4.64%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.53%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -22.71%E -4.64%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -7.88%E -6.35%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -24.29%E -5.06%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -10.85%E -9.04%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -20.52%E -2.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.25%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 02:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.11% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.55% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.83% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 02:45 |