La escuela de los momiosAuckland FC v Adelaide United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Auckland FC (Local)
Predicción 44.73%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.26%44.80%44.75%47.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.67%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adelaide United (Visitante)
Predicción 29.11%3.44momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.540%
Kelly +0.756%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%29.07%29.11%30.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.253.263.5033.90%30.74%30.63%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.725%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.255%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.77%26.13%26.15%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.27%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV +1.89%E +0.540%K +0.756%G +0.014% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -10.55%E -5.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV +1.89%E +0.540%K +0.756%G +0.014% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.18%EV -4.29%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -3.06%E -0.919%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.89%E -0.504%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.18%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.20%E -0.865%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.18%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.20%E -0.865%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 22:47 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -12.78%E -6.56%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -12.78%E -6.56%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| GTbets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -4.51%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.34%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV +0.725%E +0.188%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Bovada | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.77%EV -6.52%E -3.12%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 22:36 |
| BetUS | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.77%EV -6.52%E -3.12%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 22:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 19:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.15%EV -14.57%E -7.63%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.30%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.55%E -5.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -8.30%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 13:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.40%EV -14.13%E -7.36%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.89%E -0.504%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.55%E -5.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.90%E -6.10%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -11.44%E -5.78%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -14.12%E -4.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 01:24 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |