مدرسة الاحتمالات

Auckland FC v Adelaide United

البداية: 2026-05-09 06:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Auckland FC 1–1 Adelaide United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Auckland FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.73%2.24السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -1.57%
Kelly -2.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.26%44.80%44.75%47.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.67%48.78%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Adelaide United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.11%3.44السعر العادل
EV +1.89%
الأفضلية +0.540%
Kelly +0.756%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.87%29.07%29.11%30.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.253.263.5033.90%30.74%30.63%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.16%3.82السعر العادل
EV +0.725%
الأفضلية +0.188%
Kelly +0.255%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.77%26.13%26.15%27.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.27%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV +1.89%E +0.540%K +0.756%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 22:54
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -10.55%E -5.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV +1.89%E +0.540%K +0.756%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 22:34
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -8.76%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 22:54
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.02%E -0.300%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 22:54
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 22:34
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 22:34
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.18%EV -4.29%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -3.06%E -0.919%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.89%E -0.504%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 01:24
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.18%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.20%E -0.865%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 22:09
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.72%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.18%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.20%E -0.865%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 22:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 22:47
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -12.78%E -6.56%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:54
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -12.78%E -6.56%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:54
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:29
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -4.51%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.34%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 01:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 22:25
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV +0.725%E +0.188%K +0.255%G +0.002%4.8%2026-05-09 01:24
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.84%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:14
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.77%EV -6.52%E -3.12%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 22:36
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 44.77%EV -6.52%E -3.12%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 22:34
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 19:08
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.15%EV -14.57%E -7.63%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 22:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.30%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.55%E -5.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -8.30%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 19:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.51%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 01:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 13:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:49
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.75%E -3.15%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 19:09
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.40%EV -14.13%E -7.36%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 22:39
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.08%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.89%E -0.504%K -0.688%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 01:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.55%E -5.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.67%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.90%E -6.10%K -9.00%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-09 01:24
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -11.44%E -5.78%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -14.12%E -4.79%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.36%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-08 19:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-09 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-09 01:24
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-09 01:24
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-05-08 22:49