赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Velez Sarsfield BA v Platense

开赛时间： 2026-10-05 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Velez Sarsfield BA (主队)

预测 49.55%2.02公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.37%49.56%49.50%50.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.871.881.9558.14%53.54%53.33%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Platense (客队)

预测 20.04%4.99公平赔率
EV +0.379%
优势 +0.076%
Kelly +0.095%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.01

博彩公司预测分布
19.28%20.06%20.10%22.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.554.555.0125.00%21.99%21.98%19.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.41%3.29公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -0.836%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.90%30.38%30.41%31.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.873.073.103.2034.84%32.56%32.26%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Velez Sarsfield BA (主队)：49.55%；Platense (客队)：20.04%；平局：30.41%。 对于“Platense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.99。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.01，对应+0.379%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.10%EV -4.37%E -2.26%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.30%EV +0.379%E +0.076%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.60%EV -3.89%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.53%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -0.823%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.96%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-05 03:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.53%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -0.823%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.96%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-05 03:40
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.53%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -0.823%E -0.166%K -0.208%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.96%EV -5.11%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-05 03:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.91%EV -6.35%E -3.36%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -3.83%E -0.798%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 10:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -5.36%E -2.81%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -4.83%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -6.85%E -3.64%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.83%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 10:49
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.94%EV -6.85%E -3.64%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.83%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 14:30
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.11%EV -6.83%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.11%EV -6.83%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 15:10
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.25%EV -4.37%E -2.26%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.48%EV -7.03%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.27%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 03:49
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.81%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.36%E -2.81%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 10:04
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -6.85%E -3.64%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 12:01
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.36%E -2.81%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 10:04
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.13%EV -6.85%E -3.64%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -10.31%E -5.70%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.54%EV -10.81%E -6.01%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -7.84%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.07%EV -12.71%E -4.43%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-05 14:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.36%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -8.84%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.32%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 03:46
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.99%EV -14.77%E -8.59%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.28%EV -8.84%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-05 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.84%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 16:35
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.84%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.84%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -2.67%E -0.836%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.29%EV -7.34%E -3.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.84%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 10:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.84%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 08:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.53%EV -7.34%E -3.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -9.84%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -5.85%E -3.08%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.84%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.91%EV -5.85%E -3.08%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -11.84%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.97%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 13:44
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -8.33%E -4.50%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.84%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 09:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.84%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -8.83%E -4.80%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.84%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.33%E -4.50%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -13.25%E -3.06%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.10%EV -8.33%E -4.50%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -13.85%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.54%EV -10.81%E -6.01%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -13.85%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-05 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.66%EV -10.81%E -6.01%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -14.85%E -3.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-04 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.66%EV -10.81%E -6.01%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -14.85%E -3.49%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-05 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.86%EV -12.79%E -7.27%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -15.85%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-04 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -19.86%E -4.96%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-05 14:01
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.99%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.00%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-10-05 13:50
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-05 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-05 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-05 14:30