Language:English
Velez Sarsfield BA v Central Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Prediction 68.36%1.46fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -10.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.18%68.33%68.23%70.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.361.4078.13%73.81%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 9.98%10.02fair odd
EV +20.73%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.387%
assuming max odds 12.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.93%10.01%10.08%11.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.279.0012.1013.33%10.79%11.11%8.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.67%4.62fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.556%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.48%21.66%21.69%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.234.254.5026.67%23.65%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Velez Sarsfield BA (Local): 68.36%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 9.98%; Draw: 21.67%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.02. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.06%EV -6.35%E -4.64%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 12.10I 8.26%NM 7.93%EV +20.73%E +1.71%K +1.87%G +0.387% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.01%EV -5.53%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -4.99%E -3.59%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 11.23I 8.90%NM 8.58%EV +12.05%E +1.07%K +1.18%G +0.142% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.10%EV -5.53%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.35%E -4.64%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +4.77%E +0.454%K +0.502%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.35%E -4.64%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +4.77%E +0.454%K +0.502%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +4.77%E +0.454%K +0.502%G +0.024% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.31%EV +2.27%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.58%EV -4.23%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.31%EV +2.27%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.58%EV -4.23%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.70%EV -6.35%E -4.64%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -0.221%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.50%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.221%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.67%EV -9.09%E -6.83%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -0.221%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -5.21%E -0.548%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.50%E -0.556%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -5.21%E -0.548%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -5.21%E -0.548%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -5.21%E -0.548%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -5.21%E -0.548%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.00%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.15%EV -7.70%E -0.833%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.50%E -0.556%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.34%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.05%EV -7.70%E -0.833%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 00:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -10.20%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -2.50%E -0.556%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 23:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.15%EV -7.04%E -5.17%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -10.20%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.41%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -10.20%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -6.18%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 00:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.09%E -6.83%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.20%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.50%E -0.556%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.23%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -10.20%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.78%EV -11.14%E -8.57%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -10.20%E -1.13%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-14 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.20%EV -12.51%E -9.77%K -44.66%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 9.98%EV -12.69%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.27%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.75%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.27%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.75%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.10%EV -4.30%E -3.07%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -5.67%E -4.11%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-14 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-14 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -9.09%E -6.83%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.35%EV -9.09%E -6.83%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.12%EV -12.25%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -9.09%E -6.83%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-14 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.18%EV -9.09%E -6.83%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.19%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -18.75%E -5.00%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-13 23:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.16%EV -9.77%E -7.40%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.68%EV -17.18%E -2.07%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -13.33%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.44%EV -7.72%E -5.72%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -20.18%E -2.52%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -6.83%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.76%EV -9.77%E -7.40%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -25.17%E -3.36%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-14 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.60% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.75% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.75% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.75% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.74% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.23% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 00:10 |