The School of Odds
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Union Santa Fe v Central Córdoba

2026-08-09 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Santa Fe (Local)

Prediction 63.40%1.58fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -11.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.59%63.38%63.40%63.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.451.441.4971.94%69.11%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 7.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.60%13.41%13.41%15.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.536.507.5517.54%15.31%15.38%13.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%23.22%23.19%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.583.863.954.1027.93%25.91%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.85%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.60%EV +1.21%E +0.160%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.55%EV -6.31%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 20:49
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.16%E -0.880%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.92%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:14
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.16%E -0.880%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 20:50
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.16%E -0.880%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 20:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.16%E -0.880%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 20:49
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.80%EV -6.16%E -4.16%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.67%EV -8.84%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.40%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 21:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.86%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.24%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-30 20:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -12.86%E -1.98%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.45%EV -9.97%E -7.02%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.31%EV -18.23%E -2.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -16.51%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-30 21:34
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.88%EV -11.87%E -8.54%K -30.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.10%EV -18.23%E -2.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.02%EV -16.98%E -4.74%K -6.58%G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-30 21:34
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.94%EV -9.97%E -7.02%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -20.91%E -3.54%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.88%E -3.13%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-30 21:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.59%EV -8.70%E -6.04%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.17%EV -22.92%E -3.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -16.51%E -4.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-30 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.41%EV -10.60%E -7.52%K -25.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.19%EV -23.59%E -4.14%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -14.20%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-30 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.