Language:English
Union Santa Fe v Central Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Prediction 56.14%1.78fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.25%56.11%58.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.641.651.7564.94%60.82%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 16.91%5.91fair odd
EV +5.86%
Edge +0.936%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 6.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.43%16.85%16.95%18.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.465.406.2620.00%18.32%18.52%15.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.90%26.95%28.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.403.7631.25%28.91%29.41%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Santa Fe (Local): 56.14%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 16.91%; Draw: 26.95%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -7.93%E -4.84%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.43%EV +5.86%E +0.936%K +1.11%G +0.065% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.69%EV +1.33%E +0.353%K +0.481%G +0.006% | 3.5% | 2026-08-10 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +1.46%E +0.244%K +0.293%G +0.004% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.520%E +0.139%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.94%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +1.46%E +0.244%K +0.293%G +0.004% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV +0.520%E +0.139%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -9.05%E -5.59%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +1.46%E +0.244%K +0.293%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.61%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.20%EV +0.449%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.19%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.55%EV -9.61%E -5.97%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -1.92%E -0.331%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.25%EV -2.32%E -1.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.63%EV -2.26%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.11%EV -7.83%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -2.76%E -0.481%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.79%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV -3.61%E -0.633%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV -5.68%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -5.30%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -8.49%E -5.21%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -5.30%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -1.64%E -0.448%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -8.49%E -5.21%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -5.30%E -0.947%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -1.64%E -0.448%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -5.12%E -3.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -6.99%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -6.99%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -6.99%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -6.99%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -6.25%E -3.74%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.99%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -9.05%E -5.59%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -6.99%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -1.75%E -1.00%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -8.68%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.38%EV -1.75%E -1.00%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -8.68%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -5.68%E -3.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.68%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 00:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -8.68%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.88%EV -11.86%E -7.55%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.85%EV -10.37%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -5.12%E -3.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -11.22%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.38%EV -4.56%E -2.68%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -11.22%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.22%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.12%EV -7.37%E -4.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -11.22%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.88%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -11.22%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.86%EV -12.42%E -7.96%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.06%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.86%EV -12.42%E -7.96%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -12.06%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.63%EV -11.30%E -7.15%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.90%EV -12.06%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.05%E -5.59%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-11 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.76%EV -13.54%E -8.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.09%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.05%E -5.59%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.05%E -5.59%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -10.18%E -6.36%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.50% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.19% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-08-11 00:10 |
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