语言:简体中文
Talleres v Lanus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Talleres (主队)
预测 39.20%2.55公平赔率
EV -2.78%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
37.87%39.19%38.96%40.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.352.402.4846.51%42.63%41.67%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lanus (客队)
预测 27.20%3.68公平赔率
EV -3.44%
优势 -0.969%
Kelly -1.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.55
博彩公司预测分布
26.10%27.29%27.39%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.333.353.5533.33%30.03%29.85%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 33.60%2.98公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -0.649%
Kelly -0.987%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.92
博彩公司预测分布
31.98%33.52%33.65%34.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.752.752.9239.22%36.38%36.36%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Talleres (主队)：39.20%；Lanus (客队)：27.20%；平局：33.60%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.98。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.92，期望值为-1.89%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.32%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.87%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.82%EV -5.59%E -1.99%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -1.89%E -0.649%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 22:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -1.89%E -0.649%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 22:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.27%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 20:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-30 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-30 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.05%E -3.90%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -3.44%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.78%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.28%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -10.97%E -4.14%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-29 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.33%E -5.62%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-29 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -18.40%E -6.13%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.34%EV -14.54%E -6.67%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.10%EV -8.34%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.57%EV -11.97%E -4.57%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -15.71%E -7.31%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.65%E -4.86%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 33.80% | 16.5% | 2026-07-30 20:30 |