Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres v Instituto de Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres (Local)

Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.07%42.29%42.30%45.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.202.2951.28%45.92%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Instituto de Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%25.21%25.14%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.654.0230.30%27.41%27.40%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.51%3.08fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%32.50%32.56%33.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.842.853.0440.00%35.21%35.09%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 42.32%; Instituto de Córdoba (Visit): 25.17%; Draw: 32.51%. For Instituto de Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV +1.18%E +0.292%K +0.389%G +0.005%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.21%EV -1.16%E -0.380%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.05%EV -6.48%E -2.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.91%EV +0.169%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.05%EV -6.48%E -2.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.91%EV +0.169%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.84%E -0.473%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 22:09
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.24%EV -3.09%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.86%EV -2.10%E -0.539%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.90%EV -4.41%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 22:05
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 22:05
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 22:05
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.32%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -7.66%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 22:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 22:10
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:09
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 22:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-12 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.71%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.36%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:10
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 22:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-12 22:05
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -3.52%E -1.54%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -3.52%E -1.54%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -3.52%E -1.54%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-12 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.97%EV -9.86%E -4.63%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.76%EV -12.67%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.94%E -3.59%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 22:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -13.17%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -12.40%E -5.99%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-12 22:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.49%EV -17.48%E -8.96%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.37%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.14%EV -18.71%E -7.49%K -12.48%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-12 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -8.17%E -3.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -15.69%E -4.68%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-12 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.95%E -5.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.59%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -16.95%E -5.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -14.49%E -5.51%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-12 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-03-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-03-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-03-12 22:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%1.2%2026-03-12 22:10
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%1.6%2026-03-12 22:10
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-12 22:10