The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Talleres v Estudiantes

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres (Local)

Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.739%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.65%39.95%39.95%44.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.282.382.5552.91%43.95%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd
EV -0.686%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.298%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%30.10%30.10%33.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.952.853.3037.74%33.95%35.09%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%29.95%29.95%30.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.013.003.1535.09%33.26%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Talleres (Local): 39.95%; Estudiantes (Visit): 30.10%; Draw: 29.95%. For Talleres (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +1.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV +1.88%E +0.739%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV +1.88%E +0.739%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -0.113%E -0.045%K -0.075%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -17.24%E -6.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.65%E -2.84%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.90%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.90%EV -2.91%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -18.74%E -6.94%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.91%E -2.06%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.03%EV -20.25%E -7.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -12.10%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.16%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.26%EV -18.09%E -8.83%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -0.686%E -0.208%K -0.298%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.86%EV -11.05%E -3.72%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -18.09%E -8.83%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -3.70%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-01 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -20.09%E -10.05%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -13.15%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 44.37%EV -24.49%E -12.96%K -27.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -3.70%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.42%EV -14.64%E -5.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%19.2%2026-11-01 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 42.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.26%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.23%16.5%2026-11-01 19:25