L’École des cotes

Talleres v Deportivo Riestra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 23:30 UTC

Score final : Talleres 2–0 Deportivo Riestra

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talleres (Local)

Prévision 56.69%1.76cote équitable
EV +0.341%
Avantage +0.193%
Kelly +0.443%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.39%56.49%56.77%57.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.57%60.61%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.81%6.75cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.300%
Kelly +0.351%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 6.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.03%15.02%14.69%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.036.006.8919.61%16.59%16.67%14.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.50%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.835%
Avantage -0.240%
Kelly -0.337%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.49%28.54%30.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.253.4834.72%30.94%30.77%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.54%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 14.03%EV +2.07%E +0.300%K +0.351%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.11%E -0.916%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 23:25
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.93%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.201%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -0.835%E -0.240%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 23:25
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 23:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.72%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 23:24
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.47%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.77%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:20
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.47%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 23:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 23:25
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 23:20
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.37%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -3.71%E -0.570%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 23:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.19%EV -7.60%E -4.66%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -5.19%E -0.811%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 23:25
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -7.41%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 23:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.62%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -8.15%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 23:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.62%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -8.15%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.54%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -9.63%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 23:24
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.04%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:25
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.19%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 23:24
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.19%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 23:25
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 23:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.09%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 23:15
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.03%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 23:25
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.33%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 23:25
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 23:25
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.60%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.56%EV -11.00%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -11.11%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 23:24
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.03%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -14.08%E -2.43%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 23:20
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.73%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -14.82%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -11.66%E -3.76%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 23:24
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -0.792%E -0.453%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -18.52%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -7.39%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.46%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -18.52%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -8.81%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.85%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -18.52%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.29%EV -17.93%E -6.23%K -9.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.39%EV -11.00%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.10%EV -20.00%E -3.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV +0.341%E +0.193%K +0.443%G +0.002%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -21.48%E -4.05%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV +0.341%E +0.193%K +0.443%G +0.002%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -21.48%E -4.05%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.96%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -24.45%E -4.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 23:25
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -3.63%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -24.45%E -4.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.68%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -24.45%E -4.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.63%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 23:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.15%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-04-19 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-19 23:20
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.29%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-04-19 23:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.84%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-04-19 23:25
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%3.1%2026-04-19 23:25