The School of Odds
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Talleres v Belgrano de Cordoba

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 19:30 UTC

Final: Talleres 0–1 Belgrano de Cordoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres (Local)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.384%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.07%37.91%40.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.402.402.6144.84%41.62%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)

Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.470%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.79%28.06%28.09%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.6133.33%30.34%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.03%2.94fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.04%33.87%34.00%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.32%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 37.93%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 28.04%; Draw: 34.03%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.54%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +1.23%E +0.340%K +0.470%G +0.006%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.67%EV -5.06%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.50%EV -11.62%E -4.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.31%E -0.453%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:24
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.50%EV -11.62%E -4.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -1.86%E -0.531%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.31%E -0.453%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.94%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.94%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.94%EV -4.80%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.62%E -4.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -1.31%E -0.453%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.26%E -0.945%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -7.45%E -3.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -3.54%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -8.46%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 19:09
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 19:09
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -5.40%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 19:14
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.78%EV -1.00%E -0.384%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.57%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.65%EV -5.74%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 19:24
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.66%E -6.51%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.66%E -6.51%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -15.42%E -6.91%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 19:24
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -1.31%E -0.453%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 11:07
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:49
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:24
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:54
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.47%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.87%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.48%EV -2.33%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:39
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.12%E -3.01%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 19:24
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -10.87%E -4.62%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.14%EV -11.11%E -3.51%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -10.50%E -3.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 19:03
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -11.67%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -10.87%E -4.62%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.67%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -14.66%E -6.51%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -11.67%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.81%EV -12.54%E -4.88%K -7.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 19:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.76%E -5.55%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -4.72%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 16:34
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.76%E -5.55%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -6.42%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.76%E -5.55%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -13.22%E -5.19%K -8.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -10.87%E -4.62%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.88%E -5.29%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -9.82%E -3.71%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -12.76%E -5.55%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.88%E -5.29%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -11.52%E -4.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%0.9%2026-05-09 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%1.2%2026-05-09 19:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%1.2%2026-05-09 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%1.2%2026-05-09 19:15
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.14%2.4%2026-05-09 19:14
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-05-09 19:14