The School of Odds
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Talleres v Belgrano de Cordoba

2026-10-04 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres (Local)

Prediction 33.55%2.98fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.17%33.55%33.36%34.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.652.702.8641.15%37.67%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)

Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.95%33.54%33.55%33.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8139.22%37.30%37.04%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.91%3.04fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%32.91%33.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8738.46%36.52%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Talleres (Local): 33.55%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 33.54%; Draw: 32.91%. For Talleres (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.86, with an expected value of -4.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -4.05%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.77%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.06%EV -5.55%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -5.73%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.77%EV -7.43%E -2.69%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -7.19%E -2.55%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.85%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.85%E -2.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -9.44%E -3.50%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -4.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 15:35
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -12.77%E -4.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.43%E -5.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-13 15:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -14.45%E -5.67%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -9.50%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 15:16
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.41%EV -16.13%E -6.45%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.86%EV -11.14%E -4.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-13 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.45%EV -17.81%E -7.27%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.10%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.46%EV -14.43%E -5.55%K -9.02%G +0.000%18.5%2026-09-13 15:16
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 34.85%EV -18.48%E -7.60%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 32.95%EV -13.80%E -5.37%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.20%EV -13.45%E -5.11%K -8.25%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-13 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.