The School of Odds
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Talleres v Belgrano de Cordoba

2026-10-04 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres (Local)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.03%37.02%37.04%37.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.502.6242.55%40.01%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)

Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%32.13%32.01%33.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.853.0537.74%34.95%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.89%3.24fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.87%30.85%30.94%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1035.71%33.31%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Talleres (Local): 37.01%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 32.10%; Draw: 30.89%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -2.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -3.03%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.71%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.50%EV -5.47%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -6.71%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -6.71%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 20:25
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.54%EV -6.71%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:10
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.93%EV -4.88%E -1.90%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.43%EV -6.71%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 07:10
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -2.10%E -0.690%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.78%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 14:19
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.78%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.78%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 08:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.78%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 08:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.87%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-02 08:55
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.49%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.48%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 20:05
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.49%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.31%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.48%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.65%EV -5.64%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.43%EV -8.56%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 07:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -7.88%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 03:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 06:10
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.92%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 20:05
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -8.52%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.78%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-23 04:15
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.24%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-29 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 20:00
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 20:14
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-27 20:14
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -7.56%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-02 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -8.87%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 08:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 08:09
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.34%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.42%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-01 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.73%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.33%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-02 03:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.81%EV -11.09%E -4.00%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-01 00:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -14.94%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -11.96%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-02 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.90%EV -9.49%E -3.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.29%EV -8.25%E -2.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-02 20:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.13%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.87%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -13.34%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -8.87%E -3.01%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-02 03:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-10-03 20:05
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%2.4%2026-10-03 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-10-03 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.09%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-10-03 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%2.9%2026-10-03 21:50