Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.76
assuming max odds 2.92
assuming max odds 3.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 35.49%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 33.36%; Draw: 31.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -2.59%E -0.886%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.96%EV -5.94%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 10:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -2.59%E -0.886%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.96%EV -5.94%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 10:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.98%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.06%EV -2.59%E -0.886%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.96%EV -5.94%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 10:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -2.74%E -1.00%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.32%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.67%EV -5.63%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.10%E -1.14%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.76%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -1.89%E -0.601%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.16%E -1.54%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 14:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.35%EV -6.92%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.54%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 13:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -5.94%E -2.24%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.00%E -2.67%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.71%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.71%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.71%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.71%E -2.97%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -9.49%E -3.72%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.26%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -11.26%E -4.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.26%E -4.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -11.26%E -4.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -11.26%E -4.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.60%EV -11.26%E -4.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.26%E -4.51%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.59%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -12.17%E -4.32%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -13.04%E -5.32%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -13.04%E -5.32%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -13.04%E -5.32%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -6.59%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.75%EV -13.04%E -5.32%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.30%EV -12.26%E -4.66%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.95%EV -11.86%E -4.19%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -14.81%E -6.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -14.81%E -6.17%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -11.59%E -4.38%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-04 19:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.02% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.10% | 2.1% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |