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Sarmiento de Junin v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.09%49.49%49.47%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.871.901.9558.14%53.45%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)
Prediction 19.78%5.06fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.81%19.82%19.79%21.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.684.705.1123.81%21.36%21.28%19.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV +0.063%
Edge +0.019%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.94%30.69%30.75%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.043.063.2537.74%32.94%32.68%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 49.43%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 19.78%; Draw: 30.79%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.71%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.87%EV +1.09%E +0.213%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.41%EV -5.48%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.11%EV -5.79%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.11%EV -5.79%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.11%EV -5.79%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -1.09%E -0.218%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV +0.063%E +0.019%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.07%E -0.626%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.07%E -0.626%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.12%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -4.06%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.92%EV -4.65%E -0.965%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.58%EV -3.32%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.15%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.10%EV -10.04%E -5.52%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -5.04%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -3.02%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.53%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.66%EV -6.08%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.03%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.44%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -7.02%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -7.02%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 21:53 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.21%EV -12.02%E -6.75%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.02%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.21%EV -12.02%E -6.75%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.02%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -3.61%E -1.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.09%EV -5.10%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.00%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.98%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.98%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.33%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.64%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -11.97%E -2.69%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-03 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.96%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -12.96%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.05%E -4.92%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -14.94%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.10%EV -8.56%E -4.62%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -14.94%E -3.47%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -12.02%E -6.75%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -16.91%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.58%EV -14.98%E -8.71%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.89%EV -16.91%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.53%EV -18.41%E -6.95%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.39% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71% | 1.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |