The School of Odds
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San Lorenzo v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Lorenzo (Local)

Prediction 57.12%1.75fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -6.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.35%57.10%57.17%58.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.611.621.6768.49%62.03%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)

Prediction 14.06%7.11fair odd
EV +6.82%
Edge +0.898%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 7.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.64%14.07%14.10%15.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.576.507.6017.86%15.23%15.38%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%28.84%28.73%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.203.253.3735.09%31.25%30.77%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Lorenzo (Local): 57.12%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 14.06%; Draw: 28.83%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.11. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +6.82%E +0.898%K +1.03%G +0.071%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.77%EV -3.72%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.45%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.46I 13.40%NM 12.93%EV +4.85%E +0.651%K +0.751%G +0.036%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.62%EV -2.85%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.78%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.33%EV +0.497%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.78%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.33%EV +0.497%E +0.070%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-20 05:36
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -1.61%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.70%EV -8.04%E -4.99%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -1.61%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -9.18%E -5.78%K -15.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -1.61%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 19:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.61%E -5.38%K -14.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -1.61%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.20%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -3.72%E -0.543%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.60%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:20
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -5.13%E -0.759%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 12:05
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -5.13%E -0.759%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 19:30
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.26%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 19:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.02%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.02%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.77%EV -5.76%E -3.49%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 18:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.37%EV -8.04%E -4.99%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -8.61%E -5.38%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.61%E -5.38%K -14.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.21%EV -10.33%E -6.58%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.64%E -1.33%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-22 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.33%E -3.86%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -10.04%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.34%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.04%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.51%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -12.15%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.51%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -12.15%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.35%EV -10.33%E -6.58%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.16%EV -12.15%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-22 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 57.28%EV -16.61%E -11.38%K -36.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.38%EV -12.15%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -17.84%E -6.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-22 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.01%EV -9.18%E -5.78%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.60%EV -14.26%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.39%EV -12.65%E -4.18%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 19:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.49%EV -13.18%E -8.67%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.32%EV -14.26%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.35%EV -10.33%E -6.58%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -15.67%E -2.61%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.17%EV -16.98%E -5.90%K -9.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -7.47%E -4.61%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.42%EV -17.07%E -2.89%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.67%EV -21.29%E -3.80%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.08%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.79%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.7%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.54%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-02-22 19:50
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.14%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-02-22 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-02-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-02-22 19:55