La scuola delle quote

Rosario Central v Racing Club

Inizio: 2026-05-13 21:47 UTC

Finale: Rosario Central 2–1 Racing Club

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rosario Central (Casa)

Previsione 41.43%2.41quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.27%41.46%41.51%43.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.222.252.3348.78%45.06%44.44%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Racing Club (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.30%3.80quota equa
EV +5.20%
Vantaggio +1.30%
Kelly +1.73%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.00%26.30%26.23%27.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.473.504.0032.26%28.80%28.57%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.27%3.10quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -0.521%
Kelly -0.775%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.56%32.25%32.27%33.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.892.903.0538.02%34.57%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.45%EV -8.43%E -3.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV +5.20%E +1.30%K +1.73%G +0.090%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:44
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.058%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -5.14%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 21:44
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -2.69%E -0.727%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 21:44
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.69%E -0.727%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 21:44
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:44
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:45
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 21:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 21:44
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 21:44
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 21:44
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 21:41
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -8.36%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 21:44
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -1.59%E -0.521%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 21:44
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -1.59%E -0.521%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 21:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 21:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 21:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 21:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 21:44
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 21:44
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 21:44
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.15%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -8.69%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 21:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 21:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 21:44
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 21:44
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-13 21:44
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.21%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -11.33%E -5.30%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.21%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 21:45
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 21:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 21:44
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -14.23%E -6.88%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.34%EV -10.62%E -3.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-13 21:44
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -17.15%E -5.45%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.47%E -5.96%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.14%E -5.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-13 21:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-13 21:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-13 21:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-13 21:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-13 21:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-05-13 21:45