L’École des cotes

Rosario Central v Racing Club

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 21:47 UTC

Score final : Rosario Central 2–1 Racing Club

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 41.43%2.41cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.27%41.46%41.51%43.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.252.3348.78%45.06%44.44%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Racing Club (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.30%3.80cote équitable
EV +5.20%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%26.30%26.23%27.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.504.0032.26%28.80%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.27%3.10cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.521%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%32.25%32.27%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.892.903.0538.02%34.57%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.45%EV -8.43%E -3.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV +5.20%E +1.30%K +1.73%G +0.090%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 21:44
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.058%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -5.14%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 21:44
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -2.69%E -0.727%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 21:44
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.69%E -0.727%K -0.996%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 21:44
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:44
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:45
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 21:44
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 21:45
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 21:44
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.32%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 21:44
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 21:44
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 21:41
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -8.36%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 21:44
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -1.59%E -0.521%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 21:44
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -1.59%E -0.521%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 21:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 21:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 21:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.95%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 21:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 21:44
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 21:44
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 21:44
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.15%EV -12.16%E -5.74%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -8.69%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 21:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.58%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 21:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 21:44
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 21:44
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -10.50%E -4.86%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -15.06%E -7.35%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-13 21:44
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.21%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -11.33%E -5.30%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.21%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 21:45
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 21:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 21:44
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -14.23%E -6.88%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.34%EV -10.62%E -3.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-13 21:44
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -17.15%E -5.45%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.99%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.47%E -5.96%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.14%E -5.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-13 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-13 21:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-13 21:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-13 21:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-13 21:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-05-13 21:45