The School of Odds
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Rosario Central v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-11-22 21:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosario Central (Local)

Prediction 66.68%1.50fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -10.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.87%66.68%67.24%67.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.391.4375.76%72.42%71.94%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)

Prediction 12.35%8.10fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.192%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.87%12.35%12.07%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.116.887.9916.00%14.06%14.55%12.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.97%4.77fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.531%
Kelly -0.676%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%20.97%20.69%22.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.254.204.6525.32%23.53%23.81%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rosario Central (Local): 66.68%; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit): 12.35%; Draw: 20.97%. For Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.99, with an expected value of -1.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -4.65%E -3.25%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -7.40%E -0.986%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 14:24
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -4.65%E -3.25%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -7.40%E -0.986%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.76%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.06%EV -5.98%E -4.24%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -13.57%E -1.94%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.91%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.65%E -4.75%K -16.63%G +0.000%7.99I 12.52%NM 11.87%EV -1.35%E -0.168%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.39%EV -2.47%E -0.531%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 07:00
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -6.65%E -4.75%K -16.63%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV -3.69%E -0.473%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -4.57%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.24%EV -6.65%E -4.75%K -16.63%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV -3.69%E -0.473%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -4.57%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -7.98%E -5.79%K -21.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -16.66%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.00%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-10 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -7.98%E -5.79%K -21.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -16.66%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.00%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.87%EV -9.32%E -6.85%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.07%EV -16.66%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -16.10%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-10 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -10.65%E -7.95%K -31.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -19.74%E -3.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -11.91%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-10 07:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.37%EV -11.98%E -9.08%K -37.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.78%EV -16.66%E -2.47%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.85%EV -17.15%E -4.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-10 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.88%EV -11.98%E -9.08%K -37.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.70%EV -22.83%E -3.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -16.10%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-10 07:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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