L’École des cotesFrançais
Rosario Central v Banfield
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rosario Central (Local)
Prévision 57.98%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -5.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.93%58.01%57.85%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.581.591.6669.44%63.11%62.89%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Banfield (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.06%6.23cote équitable
EV +9.68%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.161%
avec la cote maximale 6.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.07%16.09%16.19%17.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.795.806.8320.00%17.26%17.24%14.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.96%3.85cote équitable
EV +0.461%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.161%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.90%25.96%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.503.8732.26%28.24%28.57%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.90%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.07%EV +9.68%E +1.42%K +1.66%G +0.161% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -10.96%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.08%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +0.365%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +0.365%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +0.365%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.57%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.49%EV +0.043%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.94%EV +0.461%E +0.119%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.47%EV -1.24%E -0.202%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.47%EV -1.24%E -0.202%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -13.03%E -8.68%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.80%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.91%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -8.11%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.86%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.86%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:53 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.61%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.29%E -7.38%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.67%EV -14.19%E -9.58%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.44%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -13.28%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.35%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -13.28%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.08%EV -10.96%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.84%EV -16.50%E -11.46%K -37.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.72%EV -14.89%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -18.23%E -5.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.69%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.50%E -3.17%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.71%E -6.95%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.53%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.11% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |