La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rosario Central v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 57.98%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -5.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.93%58.01%57.85%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.581.591.6669.44%63.11%62.89%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 16.06%6.23momio equitativo
EV +9.68%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.161%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.07%16.09%16.19%17.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.795.806.8320.00%17.26%17.24%14.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.96%3.85momio equitativo
EV +0.461%
Ventaja +0.119%
Kelly +0.161%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.73%25.90%25.96%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.503.8732.26%28.24%28.57%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.90%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.07%EV +9.68%E +1.42%K +1.66%G +0.161% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -10.96%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.08%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +0.365%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +0.365%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +0.365%E +0.058%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.57%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.49%EV +0.043%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.94%EV +0.461%E +0.119%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.47%EV -1.24%E -0.202%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.47%EV -1.24%E -0.202%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -13.03%E -8.68%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV -3.65%E -0.608%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.80%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.91%EV -6.06%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -8.11%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.86%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.95%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.86%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:53 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.61%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.29%E -7.38%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -7.66%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.67%EV -14.19%E -9.58%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -11.68%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.44%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -13.28%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.35%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -13.28%E -2.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.08%EV -10.96%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.84%EV -16.50%E -11.46%K -37.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.72%EV -14.89%E -2.81%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -18.23%E -5.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.69%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -16.50%E -3.17%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -10.71%E -6.95%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -19.71%E -3.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.53%E -6.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.74% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.11% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |