Language:English
River Plate v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 78.52%1.27fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -14.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.68%78.39%78.51%80.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.191.2389.29%84.71%84.03%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)
Prediction 5.89%16.98fair odd
EV +14.25%
Edge +0.735%
Kelly +0.775%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 19.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.95%5.98%5.85%7.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.5015.6615.2519.408.00%6.39%6.56%5.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.60%6.41fair odd
EV +6.83%
Edge +0.997%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 6.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.11%15.63%15.64%17.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.966.006.8519.05%16.79%16.67%14.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 78.52%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 5.89%; Draw: 15.60%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.98. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.70%EV -4.21%E -3.45%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 19.40I 5.15%NM 4.95%EV +14.25%E +0.735%K +0.775%G +0.110% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.36%EV -8.46%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.53%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +6.01%E +0.334%K +0.353%G +0.021% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.11%EV +6.83%E +0.997%K +1.17%G +0.080% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.53%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +6.01%E +0.334%K +0.353%G +0.021% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.11%EV +6.83%E +0.997%K +1.17%G +0.080% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.77%EV -3.43%E -2.79%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +6.01%E +0.334%K +0.353%G +0.021% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -18.13%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.77%EV -3.43%E -2.79%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +6.01%E +0.334%K +0.353%G +0.021% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -18.13%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.23%EV +6.01%E +0.334%K +0.353%G +0.021% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.24%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +0.117%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -3.31%E -0.534%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.35%E -6.23%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +0.117%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.71%EV -0.191%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -7.35%E -6.23%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +0.117%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.71%EV -0.191%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.68%EV -4.21%E -3.45%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +0.117%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -18.13%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62%EV -8.14%E -6.95%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +0.117%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -2.53%E -0.405%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.59%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +0.117%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.57%EV -5.00%E -4.13%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 16.57I 6.04%NM 5.74%EV -2.41%E -0.146%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.69%EV -5.49%E -0.906%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -5.77%E -0.361%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -5.77%E -0.361%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.76%EV -8.92%E -7.69%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -5.77%E -0.361%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.191%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 00:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.08%EV -9.71%E -8.44%K -64.71%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.76%EV -5.77%E -0.361%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.37%E +0.211%K +0.249%G +0.003% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.78%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.10%EV -8.72%E -0.562%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -2.53%E -0.405%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.37%E +0.211%K +0.249%G +0.003% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 00:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.18%EV -6.57%E -5.52%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.33%EV -7.35%E -6.23%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%EV -10.49%E -9.20%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.99%EV -10.49%E -9.20%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.93%EV -10.49%E -9.20%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.88%EV -12.06%E -10.77%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.89%EV -11.66%E -0.777%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -9.55%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -17.55%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.99%EV -7.35%E -6.23%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.49%EV -17.55%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.49%E -9.20%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -17.55%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -11.28%E -9.98%K -86.75%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -17.55%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.92%EV -10.49%E -9.20%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.38%EV -19.02%E -1.38%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.70%EV -18.13%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-11 00:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.78%E -4.82%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -23.44%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -8.14%E -6.95%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -23.44%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.76%EV -10.49%E -9.20%K -74.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -23.44%E -1.80%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.42%EV -10.33%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.35%EV -8.92%E -7.69%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -26.38%E -2.11%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -9.55%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.71% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.95% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.3% | 2026-10-11 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.62% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.92% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.46% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.43% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.69% | 2.3% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |