Language:English
River Plate v Belgrano de Cordoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 54.50%1.83fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.87%54.24%58.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.681.701.7664.94%59.57%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)
Prediction 18.30%5.46fair odd
EV +14.38%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.394%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.01%17.99%18.55%19.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.265.006.2522.73%19.01%20.00%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -0.799%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%27.14%27.20%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 54.50%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 18.30%; Draw: 27.20%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.46. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.66%EV -12.26%E -7.61%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV +14.38%E +2.30%K +2.74%G +0.394% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV +14.38%E +2.30%K +2.74%G +0.394% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.44%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.29%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV +14.38%E +2.30%K +2.74%G +0.394% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.44%E -0.969%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -14.98%E -9.60%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -14.98%E -9.60%K -26.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -16.07%E -10.44%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.11%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +7.97%E +1.35%K +1.63%G +0.130% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.45%EV -6.81%E -3.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.59%EV +6.51%E +1.12%K +1.35%G +0.088% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -2.62%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.58%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV +3.40%E +0.601%K +0.730%G +0.025% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -8.06%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.81%E -3.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV +3.40%E +0.601%K +0.730%G +0.025% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.81%E -3.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV +3.40%E +0.601%K +0.730%G +0.025% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.61%EV -6.81%E -3.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.83%EV +3.40%E +0.601%K +0.730%G +0.025% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.40%EV -5.72%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 20:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.81%E -3.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -7.58%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -5.89%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.72%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.99%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -6.81%E -3.98%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.72%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.18%EV -10.08%E -6.11%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.40%EV -8.99%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.26%EV -13.89%E -8.79%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.44%E -5.02%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -4.63%E -2.64%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.74%EV -4.63%E -2.64%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.08%E -6.11%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -4.63%E -2.64%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.68%EV -8.44%E -5.02%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -9.53%E -5.74%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 20:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.43%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 20:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -11.71%E -7.23%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -18.40%E -6.13%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -10.62%E -6.48%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -19.48%E -4.43%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 20:55 |