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Racing Club v River Plate
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Racing Club (Local)
Predicción 34.71%2.88momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.496%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.02%34.74%34.78%37.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.632.652.8444.44%37.97%37.74%35.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
River Plate (Visitante)
Predicción 32.92%3.04momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.90%32.93%32.83%34.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.852.9640.00%35.71%35.09%33.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.36%3.09momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.972%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.30%32.33%32.39%33.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.872.883.0038.02%34.87%34.72%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Racing Club (Local): 34.71%; River Plate (Visitante): 32.92%; Empate: 32.36%. Para Racing Club (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.88. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.84, con un valor esperado de -1.41%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.41%E -0.496%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -2.54%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -5.51%E -1.89%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -2.80%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.49%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.49%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -2.92%E -0.972%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.87%E -0.974%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -8.09%E -2.85%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.87%E -0.974%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -2.87%E -0.974%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 22:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -5.51%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.27%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -7.31%E -2.74%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.18%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -7.45%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.01%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -9.05%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.51%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -2.92%E -0.972%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 19:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.77%EV -9.05%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -10.45%E -3.84%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.74%EV -7.12%E -2.48%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.05%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.01%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -2.87%E -0.974%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -2.92%E -0.972%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -2.87%E -0.974%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -2.92%E -0.972%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -2.87%E -0.974%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 19:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -12.63%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -9.74%E -3.75%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -17.69%E -7.08%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -11.48%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.21%E -5.29%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -13.21%E -5.29%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -6.17%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.81%EV -13.21%E -5.29%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -12.09%E -4.53%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -13.60%E -5.09%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-12 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.80%EV -13.21%E -5.29%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.12%EV -16.04%E -6.29%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.91%E -5.61%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 22:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.18%EV -20.16%E -8.76%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.27%EV -12.75%E -4.81%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-26 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.03%EV -21.89%E -9.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -16.04%E -6.29%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.30%EV -11.01%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-26 22:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 22:30 |