Language:English
Racing Club v Independiente
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Racing Club (Local)
Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.13%39.54%39.01%44.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.312.352.4948.08%43.23%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente (Visit)
Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV +8.17%
Edge +2.21%
Kelly +3.03%
Growth +0.247%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.17%28.97%29.21%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.213.203.7033.90%31.17%31.25%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%31.49%31.78%32.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.952.953.1036.63%33.95%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 39.06%; Independiente (Visit): 29.24%; Draw: 31.70%. For Independiente (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -18.75%E -9.02%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +8.17%E +2.21%K +3.03%G +0.247% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -18.75%E -9.02%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV +8.17%E +2.21%K +3.03%G +0.247% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 01:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -18.75%E -9.02%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV +5.25%E +1.46%K +2.02%G +0.106% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -12.89%E -5.78%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -2.06%E -0.615%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -12.89%E -5.78%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -2.06%E -0.615%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.72%E -0.554%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -2.94%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -3.94%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-18 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.12%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -2.94%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.78%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.12%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -2.94%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.78%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.12%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -2.94%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.78%EV -3.62%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.19%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.92%EV -2.94%E -0.885%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -4.57%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -14.07%E -6.39%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.42%EV -7.82%E -3.31%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.43%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 17:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.77%EV -16.41%E -7.67%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.77%EV -16.41%E -7.67%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.30%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 17:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.11%E -5.38%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -17.97%E -8.56%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.21%E -3.49%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.64%EV -11.33%E -4.99%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.13%EV -13.45%E -4.93%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-18 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -16.02%E -7.45%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-18 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -10.16%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.76%E -4.66%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-10-18 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.69% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.69% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.76% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 17:40 |