The School of Odds
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Racing Club v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 66.45%1.50fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -9.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.14%66.48%66.52%68.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.391.401.4480.65%72.02%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)

Prediction 11.22%8.92fair odd
EV +9.35%
Edge +0.959%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 9.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.75%11.20%11.13%12.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.378.509.7514.29%11.94%11.76%10.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.33%4.48fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.498%
Kelly -0.645%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.32%22.35%24.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.114.204.3827.78%24.36%23.81%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 66.45%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 11.22%; Draw: 22.33%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.92. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.39%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV +9.35%E +0.959%K +1.07%G +0.100%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -2.85%E -0.655%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.39%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.75%EV +9.35%E +0.959%K +1.07%G +0.100%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -2.85%E -0.655%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 22:55
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%9.63I 10.38%NM 9.96%EV +8.01%E +0.832%K +0.928%G +0.074%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -6.87%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.41%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 10.58%EV +2.18%E +0.239%K +0.268%G +0.006%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.01%EV -2.18%E -0.498%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 22:40
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.01%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +0.943%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.01%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +0.943%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.64%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +0.943%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.80%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +0.943%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.28%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.44%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 22:29
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.58%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.04%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.04%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.00%EV -10.96%E -8.18%K -32.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.16%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -4.67%E -0.549%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 22:40
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.37%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -7.47%E -0.905%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 22:52
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.37%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.38%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -7.47%E -0.905%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -14.02%E -3.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.59%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-16 22:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.85%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -10.27%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-16 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.57%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -13.08%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -13.08%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -11.78%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-16 22:52
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -8.30%E -6.01%K -21.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -15.88%E -2.12%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.14%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -15.88%E -2.12%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.23%EV -19.60%E -5.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-16 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 66.65%EV -17.60%E -14.19%K -73.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.02%EV -15.88%E -2.12%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.34%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-16 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.16%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.57%EV -21.49%E -3.07%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -11.78%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-16 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.92%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.8%2026-03-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.07%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.07%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-03-16 22:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.07%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-03-16 22:55
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.44%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%2.2%2026-03-16 22:40