Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Racing Club v Boca Juniors

Início: 2026-08-24 00:30 UTC

Final: Racing Club 1–1 Boca Juniors

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Racing Club (Local)

Previsão 30.41%3.29odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.384%
Kelly +0.549%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.83%30.44%30.39%31.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.833.073.053.3335.34%32.56%32.79%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boca Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 37.60%2.66odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.716%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.40%37.64%37.61%39.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.432.452.6144.84%41.12%40.82%38.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.99%3.13odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.06%31.92%32.00%33.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.722.892.903.0336.76%34.60%34.48%33.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Racing Club (Local): 30.41%; Boca Juniors (Visitante): 37.60%; Empate: 31.99%. Para Racing Club (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.83%EV +1.28%E +0.384%K +0.549%G +0.007%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.50%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 00:24
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.07%E -0.642%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.59%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -4.68%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.07%E -0.642%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.59%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -4.68%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 22:15
BetAnything🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.07%E -0.642%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.59%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -4.68%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 22:15
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.55%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 00:19
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.55%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 00:19
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:21
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -4.80%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.10%EV -1.87%E -0.716%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.96%EV -3.08%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-24 00:19
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 00:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 23:54
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.80%EV -7.13%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 00:24
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 00:19
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 00:24
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.88%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 00:14
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 00:14
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 00:19
theScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 00:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -15.40%E -6.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -15.40%E -6.85%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:24
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 00:04
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 22:15
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 00:09
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.88%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 22:19
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -16.16%E -7.24%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-24 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 00:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.16%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.47%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.37%EV -12.99%E -4.78%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-24 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 00:09
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -13.93%E -4.92%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.40%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 00:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-08-24 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-08-24 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-08-24 00:24
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-08-24 00:24