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Racing Club v Boca Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Racing Club (Local)
Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.384%
Kelly +0.549%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.83%30.44%30.39%31.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.833.073.053.3335.34%32.56%32.79%30.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boca Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 37.60%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.40%37.64%37.61%39.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.432.452.6144.84%41.12%40.82%38.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.99%3.13momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.06%31.92%32.00%33.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.722.892.903.0336.76%34.60%34.48%33.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Racing Club (Local): 30.41%; Boca Juniors (Visitante): 37.60%; Empate: 31.99%. Para Racing Club (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.83%EV +1.28%E +0.384%K +0.549%G +0.007% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.50%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.15%E -0.355%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.07%E -0.642%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.59%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -4.68%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.07%E -0.642%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.59%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -4.68%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -2.07%E -0.642%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.59%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -4.68%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.55%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.55%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -6.60%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.20%E -1.33%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 00:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -4.80%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.10%EV -1.87%E -0.716%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.96%EV -3.08%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 00:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.80%EV -7.13%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.92%E -2.38%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.72%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.88%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-24 00:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -4.12%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -15.40%E -6.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -15.40%E -6.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.00%E -2.40%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-24 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.88%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -16.16%E -7.24%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -9.76%E -4.07%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.24%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-24 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -10.28%E -3.48%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.52%E -5.88%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-24 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.16%EV -11.19%E -3.83%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.47%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.37%EV -12.99%E -4.78%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-24 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.64%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -13.93%E -4.92%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.40%EV -7.88%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -11.07%E -3.98%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 00:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |