The School of Odds
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Racing Club v Belgrano de Cordoba

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 22:15 UTC

Final: Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano de Cordoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 40.72%2.46fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.741%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.44%40.60%40.67%42.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4348.78%43.57%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit)

Prediction 28.86%3.46fair odd
EV +7.66%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +2.81%
Growth +0.215%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%29.01%28.91%31.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.203.7335.71%31.67%31.25%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.42%3.29fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.71%30.39%30.42%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.033.043.1834.72%33.03%32.89%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 40.72%; Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit): 28.86%; Draw: 30.42%. For Belgrano de Cordoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.69%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +7.66%E +2.05%K +2.81%G +0.215%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.61%EV -10.57%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.01%EV -3.91%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.55%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 15:29
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.50%EV -2.15%E -0.634%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.38%EV -3.27%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 22:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 04:25
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 22:08
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.18%EV -7.98%E -3.53%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.62%EV -7.52%E -2.48%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 08:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 06:30
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 06:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 21:19
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 21:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -1.06%E -0.436%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 21:59
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -1.06%E -0.436%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.15%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.44%EV -11.17%E -3.83%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-11 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.03%EV -16.53%E -8.06%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.71%EV -12.46%E -5.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.89%EV -12.54%E -4.14%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-11 21:49
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 22:05
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 21:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -14.85%E -5.03%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -16.87%E -5.86%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -16.87%E -5.86%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 21:59
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -19.18%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 22:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.37%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -19.18%E -6.85%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.38%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-10-11 22:10
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-10-11 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-10-11 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-10-11 22:10
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%1.9%2026-10-11 22:10