L’École des cotes

Racing Club v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Prévision 64.06%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -3.06%
Kelly -9.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.04%64.03%64.22%65.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.38%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.16%8.23cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.145%
Kelly -0.165%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 8.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.51%12.24%12.00%14.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.517.508.1316.67%13.32%13.33%12.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.407%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.69%23.73%23.78%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.863.854.1529.41%25.90%25.97%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.24%EV -4.56%E -3.06%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.77%EV -1.18%E -0.145%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.99%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 20:45
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 05:20
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -11.87%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 20:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:44
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:45
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:34
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:35
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:34
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:59
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.68%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV -5.19%E -0.665%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:55
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 63.58%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -5.19%E -0.665%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:49
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.54%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.89%EV -5.79%E -0.748%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.92%EV -3.97%E -0.503%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -1.28%E -0.309%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.92%EV -3.97%E -0.503%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -1.28%E -0.309%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 07:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:50
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 19:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 01:34
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -9.04%E -6.37%K -21.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:48
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.57%EV -9.04%E -6.37%K -21.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-24 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -9.04%E -6.37%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -24.03%E -3.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 05:19
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.34%EV -9.68%E -6.87%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.34%EV -9.68%E -6.87%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 03:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 02:49
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -16.13%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -16.13%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 05:21
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.04%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.41%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -19.12%E -5.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-24 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.21%EV -10.96%E -7.89%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -27.07%E -4.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.37%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 05:19
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.03%EV -12.88%E -9.47%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.44%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-24 03:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%8.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 40.20%1.33I 75.19%NM 44.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 15.06%68.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.93%167.9%2026-04-23 10:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.93%167.9%2026-04-23 10:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.93%167.9%2026-04-23 10:20