La escuela de los momios

Racing Club v Barracas Central

Inicio: 2026-04-25 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Predicción 64.06%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -3.06%
Kelly -9.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.04%64.03%64.22%65.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.38%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barracas Central (Visitante)

Predicción 12.16%8.23momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.145%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.51%12.24%12.00%14.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.517.508.1316.67%13.32%13.33%12.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.79%4.20momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.407%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.69%23.73%23.78%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.863.854.1529.41%25.90%25.97%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.24%EV -4.56%E -3.06%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.77%EV -1.18%E -0.145%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.99%EV -5.09%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 20:45
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 05:20
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.89%EV -11.87%E -1.64%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 20:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -5.20%E -3.51%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:44
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:45
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:34
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:35
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:34
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.04%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:59
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.68%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV -5.19%E -0.665%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:55
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 63.58%EV -5.84%E -3.97%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.84%EV -6.48%E -4.44%K -14.08%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -5.19%E -0.665%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:49
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.54%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.89%EV -5.79%E -0.748%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 02:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.12%E -4.91%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.92%EV -3.97%E -0.503%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -1.28%E -0.309%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.39%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.92%EV -3.97%E -0.503%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -1.28%E -0.309%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -2.47%E -0.602%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 07:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:50
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 19:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.76%E -5.39%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 01:34
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.87%EV -9.04%E -6.37%K -21.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -2.76%E -0.344%K -0.394%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:48
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.57%EV -9.04%E -6.37%K -21.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-24 02:49
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.84%EV -9.04%E -6.37%K -21.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -24.03%E -3.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -7.23%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 05:19
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.34%EV -9.68%E -6.87%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.34%EV -9.68%E -6.87%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 03:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.83%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 02:49
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -16.13%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 00:35
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -16.13%E -2.34%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 05:21
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.04%EV -10.32%E -7.37%K -25.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.41%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -19.12%E -5.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-24 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.21%EV -10.96%E -7.89%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -27.07%E -4.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.37%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 05:19
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.03%EV -12.88%E -9.47%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.44%EV -14.91%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-24 03:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 63.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%8.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 40.20%1.33I 75.19%NM 44.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 15.06%68.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.93%167.9%2026-04-23 10:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.93%167.9%2026-04-23 10:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.03%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.93%167.9%2026-04-23 10:20