Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club v Atlético Tucuman

2026-09-06 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

52%

19%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 52.03%1.92fair odd

EV -5.31%

Edge -2.92%

Kelly -6.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.29%52.03%52.03%52.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.631.731.741.8261.35%57.90%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 19.34%5.17fair odd

EV -4.28%

Edge -0.864%

Kelly -1.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.96%19.34%19.34%20.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.204.604.534.9523.81%21.76%22.10%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd

EV -4.65%

Edge -1.40%

Kelly -1.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.97%28.64%28.64%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.133.133.3333.33%31.92%32.00%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Racing Club (Local): 52.03%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 19.34%; Draw: 28.64%. For Atlético Tucuman (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.95, with an expected value of -4.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.24%EV -5.31%E -2.92%K -6.48%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -4.28%E -0.864%K -1.08%G +0.000%	3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -4.65%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-23 18:14
SportsBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.18%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-23 19:14
FanDuel🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.18%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 19:09
BoyleSports🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.15%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-23 18:13
Paddy Power🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.98%E -2.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-08-23 19:14
Sky Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.78%E -4.47%K -5.87%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-08-23 19:09
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 52.45%EV -12.59%E -7.50%K -18.52%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -12.98%E -2.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-08-23 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 52.04%EV -13.63%E -8.21%K -20.66%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 19.63%EV -14.91%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.32%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-08-23 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 52.28%EV -14.16%E -8.58%K -21.78%G +0.000%	4.55I 21.98%NM 18.96%EV -12.01%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-08-23 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 52.48%EV -15.20%E -9.32%K -24.12%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.01%EV -12.98%E -2.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%	16.9%	2026-08-23 19:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.