The School of Odds

Platense v Union Santa Fe

2026-07-25 00:15 — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Platense (Local)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.6637.55%Mean
2.6737.52%Median
2.8335.34%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.30%3.003Min
34.12%2.931Max
33.77%2.961Mean
33.76%2.962Median
33.76%2.962IQM
33.77%2.961Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.83 under the IQM model: 33.76%

EV -4.45%Edge -1.57%Kelly -2.43%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Union Santa Fe (Visit)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.6437.88%Mean
2.6737.52%Median
2.7935.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.33%3.000Min
34.63%2.887Max
34.05%2.937Mean
34.12%2.931Median
34.12%2.931IQM
34.07%2.935Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.79 under the IQM model: 34.12%

EV -4.80%Edge -1.72%Kelly -2.68%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.5539.22%Min
2.8035.76%Mean
2.8035.71%Median
2.9533.90%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.59%3.165Min
33.33%3.000Max
32.17%3.108Mean
32.12%3.114Median
32.12%3.114IQM
32.16%3.109Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.95 under the IQM model: 32.12%

EV -5.26%Edge -1.78%Kelly -2.70%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPlatense (Local) ▼Union Santa Fe (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.83I 35.34% NM 33.55%EV -4.45% E -1.57% K -2.43% G +0.000%2.79I 35.84% NM 34.04%EV -4.80% E -1.72% K -2.68% G +0.000%2.93I 34.13% NM 32.41%EV -5.90% E -2.01% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 19:40
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97% NM 33.56%EV -6.14% E -2.21% K -3.45% G +0.000%2.74I 36.50% NM 34.05%EV -6.51% E -2.37% K -3.74% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.39%EV -7.51% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-03 19:40
SportsBet2.75I 36.36% NM 33.89%EV -7.15% E -2.60% K -4.09% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.52%EV -7.87% E -2.92% K -4.63% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.59%EV -5.26% E -1.78% K -2.70% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 16:59
FanDuel2.75I 36.36% NM 33.89%EV -7.15% E -2.60% K -4.09% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.52%EV -7.87% E -2.92% K -4.63% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.59%EV -5.26% E -1.78% K -2.70% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 17:00
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36% NM 33.53%EV -7.15% E -2.60% K -4.09% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.53%EV -6.16% E -2.24% K -3.52% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.93%EV -10.08% E -3.60% K -5.60% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-02 22:15
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04% NM 34.12%EV -8.84% E -3.27% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.12%EV -7.87% E -2.92% K -4.63% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.76%EV -6.87% E -2.37% K -3.61% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-03 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02% NM 34.02%EV -11.20% E -4.26% K -6.87% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 34.02%EV -10.26% E -3.90% K -6.29% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.96%EV -10.08% E -3.60% K -5.60% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-02 17:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17% NM 34.06%EV -11.54% E -4.41% K -7.12% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.06%EV -10.60% E -4.05% K -6.54% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.87%EV -10.08% E -3.60% K -5.60% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-02 17:04
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46% NM 33.30%EV -12.22% E -4.70% K -7.64% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.63%EV -14.70% E -5.88% K -9.80% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.07%EV -13.29% E -4.92% K -7.82% G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-02 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22% NM 33.96%EV -13.91% E -5.45% K -8.97% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.96%EV -12.99% E -5.09% K -8.38% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.08%EV -13.29% E -4.92% K -7.82% G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-02 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22% NM 33.33%EV -13.91% E -5.45% K -8.97% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.33%EV -12.99% E -5.09% K -8.38% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.33%EV -18.11% E -7.10% K -11.68% G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-02 20:59
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53% NM 33.51%EV -14.58% E -5.76% K -9.53% G +0.000%2.53I 39.53% NM 33.51%EV -13.67% E -5.40% K -8.94% G +0.000%2.57I 38.91% NM 32.99%EV -17.46% E -6.79% K -11.12% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-02 22:03
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82% NM 33.99%EV -17.28% E -7.05% K -11.92% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 33.99%EV -16.40% E -6.69% K -11.31% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 32.03%EV -16.50% E -6.35% K -10.31% G +0.000%20.1%2026-07-02 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth