StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Platense v Newells Old Boys

Matchstart: 2026-09-20 20:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Platense 0–1 Newells Old Boys

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Platense (Hemma)

Prognos 39.47%2.53rättvist odds
EV -2.91%
Fördel -1.18%
Kelly -1.99%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.80%39.63%39.48%42.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.312.352.4648.78%43.27%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Borta)

Prognos 27.88%3.59rättvist odds
EV +0.378%
Fördel +0.105%
Kelly +0.145%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.59%27.79%27.87%29.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.84%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.65%3.06rättvist odds
EV -2.05%
Fördel -0.683%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.07%32.58%32.65%33.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.672.852.853.0037.45%35.06%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Platense (Hemma): 39.47%; Newells Old Boys (Borta): 27.88%; Oavgjort: 32.65%. För Newells Old Boys (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.59. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.378%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.08%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.378%E +0.105%K +0.145%G +0.001%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -4.66%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.08%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.378%E +0.105%K +0.145%G +0.001%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -4.66%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 19:29
BetAnything🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.08%EV -4.89%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +0.378%E +0.105%K +0.145%G +0.001%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.08%EV -4.66%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -13.96%E -6.40%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV +0.378%E +0.105%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -2.05%E -0.683%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:54
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -13.96%E -6.40%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV +0.378%E +0.105%K +0.145%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -2.05%E -0.683%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:54
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.65%EV -14.75%E -6.83%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV +0.378%E +0.105%K +0.145%G +0.001%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 19:49
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -0.737%E -0.207%K -0.288%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 19:49
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.36%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -2.13%E -0.607%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.05%EV -4.33%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 19:49
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 19:43
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 19:54
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 19:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -17.12%E -8.15%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -17.12%E -8.15%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.86%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -7.93%E -2.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 19:48
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.64%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 19:29
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 19:44
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 19:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 19:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 19:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -19.09%E -9.31%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 19:54
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:54
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 19:43
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 19:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 19:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 19:34
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 19:29
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 19:28
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 19:34
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.84%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 19:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.60%EV -12.38%E -5.58%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -12.82%E -4.80%K -7.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 19:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.17%E -3.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -10.21%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.56%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.58%E -3.06%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.49%EV -12.38%E -5.58%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.56%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.23%EV -11.19%E -4.11%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 19:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-09-20 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.39%1.2%2026-09-20 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.39%1.2%2026-09-20 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.39%1.2%2026-09-20 19:54
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.26%1.6%2026-09-20 19:54