Language:English
Platense v Deportivo Riestra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 35.55%2.81fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.54%35.96%35.51%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.532.502.7543.10%39.47%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visit)
Prediction 30.65%3.26fair odd
EV +5.73%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%30.17%30.69%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.003.4536.36%32.86%33.33%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.81%2.96fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.19%33.87%33.80%34.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.752.8039.22%36.94%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 35.55%; Deportivo Riestra (Visit): 30.65%; Draw: 33.81%. For Deportivo Riestra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.59%EV -12.91%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV +5.73%E +1.66%K +2.34%G +0.134% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.01%EV -6.01%E -2.16%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.59%EV -12.91%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV +5.73%E +1.66%K +2.34%G +0.134% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.01%EV -6.01%E -2.16%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -11.85%E -4.78%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV +1.13%E +0.343%K +0.492%G +0.006% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -11.85%E -4.78%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV +1.13%E +0.343%K +0.492%G +0.006% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.59%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 01:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -13.62%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -1.93%E -0.604%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 01:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -2.25%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -16.47%E -7.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.08%E -4.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 01:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -16.47%E -7.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.08%E -4.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.79%EV -2.96%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.04%EV -6.22%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.17%EV -6.01%E -2.16%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.58%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -17.53%E -7.56%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -6.53%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-27 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.03%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.03%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -4.74%E -1.77%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -7.70%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.58%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.06%E -2.69%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-27 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.26%EV -13.98%E -5.78%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -11.13%E -3.84%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.49%EV -11.42%E -4.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.58%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -11.74%E -4.08%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.58%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -11.74%E -4.08%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -11.42%E -4.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-27 12:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -12.91%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -12.66%E -4.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.41%EV -16.47%E -7.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -12.66%E -4.44%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -13.79%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.69%E -6.12%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -14.19%E -5.07%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -11.14%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -15.72%E -5.72%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.10%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-27 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.58% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.53% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 33.89% | 16.2% | 2026-08-27 20:05 |