The School of Odds
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Platense v Central Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-11-02 22:00 UTC

Final: Platense 2–0 Central Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Platense (Local)

Prediction 66.12%1.51fair odd
EV -0.817%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.79%66.03%65.93%67.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.411.421.5078.74%71.06%70.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 12.23%8.18fair odd
EV +11.29%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 9.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.55%12.23%12.40%14.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.537.509.1016.00%13.28%13.33%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.65%4.62fair odd
EV +0.448%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.76%21.74%21.67%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.174.254.6427.40%23.96%23.53%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 66.12%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 12.23%; Draw: 21.65%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.18. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.69%EV -4.78%E -3.32%K -10.87%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.55%EV +11.29%E +1.24%K +1.39%G +0.157%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.76%EV -8.64%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 21:49
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV +7.62%E +0.866%K +0.977%G +0.075%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.72%EV +7.62%E +0.866%K +0.977%G +0.075%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.52%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.27I 12.09%NM 11.67%EV +1.14%E +0.138%K +0.157%G +0.002%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.81%EV +0.448%E +0.097%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.6%2026-11-02 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV +0.897%E +0.109%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.99%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 21:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.52%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.52%EV +0.286%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.98%EV -4.78%E -3.32%K -10.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -0.418%E -0.091%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 21:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.98%EV -4.78%E -3.32%K -10.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -0.418%E -0.091%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.83%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-02 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -9.41%E -6.87%K -25.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 21:40
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-02 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -8.75%E -6.34%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-02 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -8.75%E -6.34%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.16%E -0.270%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-02 21:55
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.07%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -5.22%E -0.673%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-02 21:44
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.71%EV -8.75%E -6.34%K -23.03%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -5.22%E -0.673%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.82%EV -4.78%E -3.32%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-02 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 21:44
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.75%EV -5.45%E -3.81%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 21:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.43%E -5.31%K -18.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.58%E -0.574%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.91%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.07%EV -6.77%E -4.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.26%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.08%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.07%E -7.41%K -27.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-02 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.07%E -7.41%K -27.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.28%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-02 21:45
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -11.33%E -1.56%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.99%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-02 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.36%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -11.33%E -1.56%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.99%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-02 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -0.817%E -0.545%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -14.49%E -3.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -0.817%E -0.545%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -14.49%E -3.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-02 21:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -8.75%E -6.34%K -23.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -4.75%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -8.75%E -6.34%K -23.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -14.49%E -3.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-02 21:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -10.07%E -7.41%K -27.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -15.57%E -3.99%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-02 21:47
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -12.06%E -9.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -14.39%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.41%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-02 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -2.80%E -1.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -17.45%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -16.65%E -4.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.23%EV -11.40%E -8.51%K -33.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -20.51%E -3.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -11.24%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-02 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 64.99%EV -16.03%E -12.62%K -59.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.70%EV -20.51%E -3.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.31%EV -19.90%E -5.38%K -7.37%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-02 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -4.12%E -2.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -21.73%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -19.90%E -5.38%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-02 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -4.12%E -2.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -21.73%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -19.90%E -5.38%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-02 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.87%EV -6.11%E -4.30%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.06%EV -23.56%E -3.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -20.98%E -5.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-02 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.90%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.90%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.90%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-11-02 21:45
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.58%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.4%2026-11-02 21:50
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.65%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%1.9%2026-11-02 21:50

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