A Escola das Odds

Newells Old Boys v Rosario Central

Início: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Previsão 19.79%5.05odd justa
EV +0.140%
Vantagem +0.028%
Kelly +0.035%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.73%20.00%19.67%22.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.104.584.505.0624.39%21.85%22.22%19.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Previsão 50.72%1.97odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.828%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.54%50.56%50.83%52.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.661.841.831.9460.24%54.41%54.50%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.49%3.39odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -0.904%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.87%29.44%29.50%30.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.113.153.2936.36%32.14%31.75%30.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet5.06I 19.76%NM 18.96%EV +0.140%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.87%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.97%E -0.904%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -1.05%E -0.209%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 19:55
Pinnacle4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.43%E -0.493%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -3.64%E -1.91%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -3.86%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:49
BetOnline.ag4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -2.63%E -0.535%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.68%EV -4.65%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.22%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 19:00
LowVig.ag4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -2.63%E -0.535%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.68%EV -4.65%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.22%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 19:00
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 19:54
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -4.02%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:54
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -4.02%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:54
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -7.69%E -4.23%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.22%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:54
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 19:55
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 19:54
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:54
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.96%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 19:54
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.96%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.92%EV -6.68%E -3.63%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.05%E -3.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 19:54
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 19:54
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 19:54
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.69%E -4.23%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 19:55
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 19:55
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.48%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.37%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 19:54
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.05%E -3.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 19:51
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -9.21%E -5.15%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 19:53
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -13.91%E -3.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -1.61%E -0.828%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:49
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -13.91%E -3.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -13.91%E -3.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.08%EV -10.23%E -5.78%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 19:54
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -7.69%E -4.23%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 19:54
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 19.40%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 50.26%EV -15.81%E -9.52%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -18.90%E -6.87%K -10.80%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-01 19:54
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -2.62%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 19:49
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 19:49
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 19:49
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.04%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.00%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-01 19:55
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -18.86%E -4.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.32%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 19:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-01 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-01 19:54
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-01 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-03-01 19:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%4.4%2026-03-01 19:55