L’École des cotes

Newells Old Boys v Rosario Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prévision 19.79%5.05cote équitable
EV +0.140%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.73%20.00%19.67%22.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.584.505.0624.39%21.85%22.22%19.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rosario Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.72%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.828%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.54%50.56%50.83%52.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.841.831.9460.24%54.41%54.50%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.49%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.87%29.44%29.50%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.113.153.2936.36%32.14%31.75%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet5.06I 19.76%NM 18.96%EV +0.140%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.87%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.97%E -0.904%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -1.05%E -0.209%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 19:55
Pinnacle4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.43%E -0.493%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -3.64%E -1.91%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.61%EV -3.86%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 19:49
BetOnline.ag4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -2.63%E -0.535%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.68%EV -4.65%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.22%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 19:00
LowVig.ag4.92I 20.33%NM 19.36%EV -2.63%E -0.535%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.68%EV -4.65%E -2.47%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.22%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 19:00
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 19:54
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -4.02%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:54
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -4.02%E -0.828%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:54
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -7.69%E -4.23%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.22%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 19:54
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:54
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 19:55
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 19:54
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.99%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 19:54
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.96%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 19:54
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.96%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.92%EV -6.68%E -3.63%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.05%E -3.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 19:54
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 19:54
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 19:54
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.69%E -4.23%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 19:55
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 19:55
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.48%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.37%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-01 19:54
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.05%E -3.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 19:51
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -9.21%E -5.15%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 19:53
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -13.91%E -3.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -1.61%E -0.828%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 19:49
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -13.91%E -3.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -2.11%E -1.10%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.63%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -13.91%E -3.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.08%EV -10.23%E -5.78%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 19:54
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -7.69%E -4.23%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 19:54
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 19.40%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 50.26%EV -15.81%E -9.52%K -23.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -18.90%E -6.87%K -10.80%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-01 19:54
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -2.62%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64%EV -3.13%E -1.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 19:49
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 19:49
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -5.16%E -2.76%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 19:49
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.04%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.00%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-01 19:55
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -18.86%E -4.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.32%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-01 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-01 19:54
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-03-01 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-03-01 19:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.46%4.4%2026-03-01 19:55