L’École des cotes

Newells Old Boys v Gimnasia Mendoza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prévision 37.70%2.65cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.22%37.72%37.88%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.452.5545.45%41.32%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.29%3.54cote équitable
EV +0.416%
Avantage +0.117%
Kelly +0.163%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%28.33%28.08%30.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.5533.33%30.62%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.01%2.94cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.54%33.95%34.05%34.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.722.752.8840.82%36.77%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV +0.416%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:44
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV +0.416%E +0.117%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 20:43
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -0.998%E -0.285%K -0.399%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:31
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%EV -3.86%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -1.56%E -0.449%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.21%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 20:44
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.41%E -0.699%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:45
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.41%E -0.699%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:45
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:44
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:45
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.17%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:43
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.17%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 20:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -9.87%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -14.04%E -6.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -9.87%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 20:44
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:43
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:44
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.78%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.49%E -2.75%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:44
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.86%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:44
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.17%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:44
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.86%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:44
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -3.86%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:44
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -3.86%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -5.45%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.17%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:43
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 20:44
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.14%EV -10.33%E -3.26%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -10.55%E -4.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 20:40
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 20:44
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.40%EV -14.42%E -6.35%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.68%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.92%EV -12.59%E -4.90%K -8.02%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-21 20:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:44
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -8.17%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 20:45
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -13.73%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -8.17%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 20:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -2.04%E -0.710%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 20:45
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 20:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -9.87%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 20:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.97%E -5.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 20:44
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -17.06%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.87%EV -15.14%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -16.67%E -6.80%K -11.50%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%0.6%2026-03-21 20:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%0.6%2026-03-21 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%0.6%2026-03-21 20:45
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.18%2.3%2026-03-21 20:45