The School of Odds
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Newells Old Boys v Central Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 22:00 UTC

Final: Newells Old Boys 2–1 Central Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.72%57.38%57.38%58.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.6766.67%62.07%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 16.74%5.97fair odd
EV +10.34%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.191%

assuming max odds 6.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.56%16.74%16.78%18.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.525.506.5920.41%18.12%18.18%15.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%25.89%25.84%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.523.8131.25%28.23%28.41%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newells Old Boys (Local): 57.38%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 16.74%; Draw: 25.88%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.86%EV -6.47%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.56%EV +10.34%E +1.57%K +1.85%G +0.191%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -6.58%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-19 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +0.461%E +0.077%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.77%E -5.52%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +0.461%E +0.077%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-19 21:49
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.51%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.15%EV +0.126%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV -1.40%E -0.368%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-19 21:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -1.21%E -0.206%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-19 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.77%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -2.89%E -0.498%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -2.44%E -0.646%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-19 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.77%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -2.89%E -0.498%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -2.44%E -0.646%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-19 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.77%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -2.89%E -0.498%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -2.44%E -0.646%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-19 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.12%EV -12.21%E -7.98%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -2.89%E -0.498%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-19 21:49
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.73%E -0.648%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 21:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -6.24%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.24%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 21:30
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -4.75%E -2.86%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.24%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -2.95%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.91%E -2.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-19 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-19 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 21:55
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -11.06%E -7.14%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-19 21:48
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-19 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-19 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-19 21:30
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.95%E -0.788%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-19 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -14.60%E -4.42%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -14.60%E -4.42%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.94%EV -10.49%E -6.73%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.78%EV -12.93%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -17.19%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-19 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.63%EV -13.93%E -9.29%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -14.61%E -2.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-19 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.28%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-19 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.50%EV -11.06%E -7.14%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -16.28%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.99%EV -12.79%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-19 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -17.96%E -3.66%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -8.13%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-19 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-10-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-10-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-10-19 21:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-10-19 21:55
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-10-19 21:30