L’École des cotes

Lanus v Platense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lanus (Local)

Prévision 43.59%2.29cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.58%43.80%43.59%47.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.092.102.2451.81%47.85%47.62%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Platense (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.04%4.16cote équitable
EV +8.16%
Avantage +1.81%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.190%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.94%23.83%24.21%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.943.854.5029.41%25.39%25.97%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.37%3.09cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.961%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.37%32.20%33.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.883.0038.02%34.96%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV +8.16%E +1.81%K +2.33%G +0.190%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:40
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -11.07%E -5.43%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.76%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.097%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -11.07%E -5.43%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +5.76%E +1.31%K +1.69%G +0.097%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 22:54
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.66%EV -14.99%E -7.69%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV +2.15%E +0.506%K +0.662%G +0.014%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.66%EV -14.99%E -7.69%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV +2.15%E +0.506%K +0.662%G +0.014%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 22:54
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.84%EV -6.71%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV +0.948%E +0.226%K +0.296%G +0.003%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.31%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -15.87%E -8.22%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV +0.948%E +0.226%K +0.296%G +0.003%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 22:54
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -0.253%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -0.253%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:45
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.93%EV -0.253%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 22:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -1.46%E -0.355%K -0.469%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:48
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -1.46%E -0.355%K -0.469%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:53
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.94%EV -2.90%E -0.717%K -0.953%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.89%EV -4.83%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 22:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.86%E -0.965%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:44
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.86%E -0.965%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.98%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.26%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:49
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:44
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:44
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -5.40%E -2.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -7.70%E -2.01%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.88%E -0.961%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -4.50%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 13:22
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.12%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -14.86%E -5.65%K -9.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-01 22:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.77%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 22:45
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:44
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.60%EV -14.99%E -7.69%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -9.87%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-01 22:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.92%EV -11.51%E -5.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -11.55%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.85%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:46
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -6.12%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 22:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -9.36%E -3.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-01 22:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.58%EV -12.82%E -6.41%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -18.28%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.38%EV -14.86%E -5.65%K -9.12%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-01 22:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%0.6%2026-04-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%0.6%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%0.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.72%0.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.60%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%1.1%2026-04-01 22:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.57%2.0%2026-04-01 22:55