Language:English
Lanus v Instituto de Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.50%42.52%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.202.3251.28%45.89%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Instituto de Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 25.09%3.98fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.704%
Kelly +0.931%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%25.00%24.97%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.704.1029.41%26.68%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.54%3.07fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%32.49%32.51%33.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.862.883.0238.02%35.00%34.72%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 42.37%; Instituto de Córdoba (Visit): 25.09%; Draw: 32.54%. For Instituto de Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV +2.89%E +0.704%K +0.931%G +0.027% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -11.88%E -5.71%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV +2.89%E +0.704%K +0.931%G +0.027% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV +2.89%E +0.704%K +0.931%G +0.027% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -2.38%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +0.378%E +0.094%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.44%EV -5.96%E -2.06%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.45%EV -6.37%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV +0.378%E +0.094%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -4.01%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -0.877%E -0.222%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -15.27%E -7.63%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -0.877%E -0.222%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -16.54%E -8.40%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -2.13%E -0.547%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.47%EV -7.26%E -2.55%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -1.71%E -0.738%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.38%E -0.612%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.54%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -1.71%E -0.738%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.38%E -0.612%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.54%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -1.71%E -0.738%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.38%E -0.612%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.54%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.56%EV -5.95%E -2.68%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.80%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.26%E -2.55%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.80%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 00:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 00:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.92%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.98%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.98%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.80%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.80%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.80%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.14%E -4.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.80%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.14%E -4.50%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.98%EV -17.39%E -8.92%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.32%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -13.15%E -6.42%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.92%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -9.16%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -1.73%E -0.572%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 00:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.92%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.92%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 00:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -8.92%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -14.42%E -5.48%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.26%E -2.55%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -2.56%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.92%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.26%E -2.55%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.89%E -3.17%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -7.64%E -3.51%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.58%EV -12.67%E -3.64%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.59%EV -13.77%E -5.20%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -4.68%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 00:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.40% | 1.2% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.55% | 1.4% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 00:25 |
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